Статья

Direct estimation of SIR model parameters through second-order finite differences

M. Medvedeva, T. Simos, C. Tsitouras, V. Katsikis,
2021

SIR model is widely used for modeling the infectious diseases. This is a system of ordinary differential equations (ODEs). The numbers of susceptible, infectious, or immunized individuals are the compartments in these equations and change in time. Two parameters are the factor of differentiating these models. Here, we are not interested in solving the ODEs describing a certain SIR model. Given the observed data, we try to estimate the parameters that determine the model. For this, we propose a least squares approach using second-order centered differences for replacing the derivatives appeared in the ODEs. Then we arrive at a simple linear system that can be solved explicitly and furnish the approximations of the parameters. Numerical results over various artificial data verify the simplicity and accuracy of the new method.

Цитирование

Похожие публикации

Источник

Версии

  • 1. Version of Record от 2021-03-30

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • M. Medvedeva
    Ural Federal University
  • T. Simos
    South Ural State University, Neijing Normal University, Democritus University of Thrace
  • C. Tsitouras
    National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
  • V. Katsikis
    National and Kapodistrian University of Athens
Название журнала
  • Mathematical Methods in the Applied Sciences
Том
  • 44
Выпуск
  • 5
Страницы
  • 3819-3826
Номер гранта
  • undefined
Тип документа
  • journal article
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC BY
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • scopus