Статья

Data mining and model-predicting a global disease reservoir for low-pathogenic Avian Influenza (A) in the wider pacific rim using big data sets

M. Gulyaeva, F. Huettmann, A. Shestopalov, M. Okamatsu, K. Matsuno, D. Chu, Y. Sakoda, A. Glushchenko, E. Milton, E. Bortz,
2021

Avian Influenza (AI) is a complex but still poorly understood disease; specifically when it comes to reservoirs, co-infections, connectedness and wider landscape perspectives. Low pathogenic (Low-path LP) AI in chickens caused by less virulent strains of AI viruses (AIVs)—when compared with highly pathogenic AIVs (HPAIVs)—are not even well-described yet or known how they contribute to wider AI and immune system issues. Co-circulation of LPAIVs with HPAIVs suggests their interactions in their ecological aspects. Here we show for the Pacific Rim an international approach how to data mine and model-predict LP AI and its ecological niche with machine learning and open access data sets and geographic information systems (GIS) on a 5 km pixel size for best-possible inference. This is based on the best-available data on the issue (~ 40,827 records of lab-analyzed field data from Japan, Russia, Vietnam, Mongolia, Alaska and Influenza Research Database (IRD) and U.S. Department of Agriculture (USDA) database sets, as well as 19 GIS data layers). We sampled 157 hosts and 110 low-path AIVs with 32 species as drivers. The prevalence across low-path AIV subtypes is dominated by Muscovy ducks, Mallards, Whistling Swans and gulls also emphasizing industrial impacts for the human-dominated wildlife contact zone. This investigation sets a good precedent for the study of reservoirs, big data mining, predictions and subsequent outbreaks of HPAI and other pandemics. © 2020, The Author(s).

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  • 1. Version of Record от 2021-04-27

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • M. Gulyaeva
    Novosibirsk State University, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation
  • F. Huettmann
    Federal Research Center of Fundamental and Translational Medicine, Novosibirsk, Russian Federation
  • A. Shestopalov
    EWHALE Lab, Institute of Arctic Biology, Biology and Wildlife Department, University of Alaska Fairbanks (UAF), Fairbanks, United States
  • M. Okamatsu
    Laboratory of Microbiology, Faculty of Veterinary Medicine, Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
  • K. Matsuno
    Global Station for Zoonosis Control, Global Institute for Collaborative Research and Education (GI-CoRE), Hokkaido University, Sapporo, Hokkaido, Japan
  • D. Chu
    Department of Animal Health, Ministry of Agriculture and Rural Development, Ha Noi, Viet Nam
  • Y. Sakoda
    University of Alaska Anchorage (UAA), Anchorage, United States
  • A. Glushchenko
  • E. Milton
  • E. Bortz
Название журнала
  • Scientific Reports
Том
  • 10
Выпуск
  • 1
Страницы
  • -
Ключевые слова
  • animal; avian influenza; bird; chicken; data mining; disease carrier; duck; forecasting; information processing; Orthomyxoviridae; Pacific Ocean; pathogenicity; prevalence; procedures; statistical model; virology; Animals; Birds; Chickens; Data Mining; Datasets as Topic; Disease Reservoirs; Ducks; Forecasting; Influenza in Birds; Models, Statistical; Orthomyxoviridae; Pacific Ocean; Prevalence
Издатель
  • Nature Research
Тип документа
  • journal article
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • scopus