Статья

Qualitative scenario analysis of development of energy storage systems in Russia until 2035

A. Logacheva, Y. Zatsarinnaya, E. Stepanova, E. Rep’ev, E. Fedotov,
2021

A stationary energy storage boom is forecast for the next two decades, according to a report by the US consulting firm Bloomberg New Energy Finance (BNEF). BNEF analysts believe that energy storage around the world will grow exponentially, from a modest 9 GW / 17 GWh commissioned by 2018 to 1,095 GW / 2,850 GWh by 2040. Experts call the ongoing global changes a “contributory revolution”. The development of energy storage systems is related to trends in the energy sector, energy costs, political and environmental conditions in the world. Moreover, energy storage technologies can face both general and specific risks. The authors of the article took into account possible risks and carried out a qualitative scenario analysis of the development of energy storage systems in Russia in the future until 2035. The authors used a probability scale to avoid cognitive biases in the scenario assessment. The most likely scenario for the development of ESS today we consider the basic.

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  • 1. Version of Record от 2021-03-01

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • A. Logacheva
    Department of Power supply systems of Industrial Enterprises, Kazan State Power Engineering University, St. Krasnoselskaya, 51, 420066, Kazan, Russia
  • Y. Zatsarinnaya
    Department of Power stations named after V K Shibanov, Kazan State Power Engineering University, St. Krasnoselskaya, 51, 420066, Kazan, Russia
  • E. Stepanova
    Department of Power stations named after V K Shibanov, Kazan State Power Engineering University, St. Krasnoselskaya, 51, 420066, Kazan, Russia
  • E. Rep’ev
    Department of Power stations named after V K Shibanov, Kazan State Power Engineering University, St. Krasnoselskaya, 51, 420066, Kazan, Russia
  • E. Fedotov
    Department of Power stations named after V K Shibanov, Kazan State Power Engineering University, St. Krasnoselskaya, 51, 420066, Kazan, Russia
Название журнала
  • IOP Conference Series Materials Science and Engineering
Том
  • 1089
Выпуск
  • 1
Страницы
  • 012040
Издатель
  • IOP Publishing
Тип документа
  • journal article
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC BY
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • dimensions