Статья

Adaptive-compartmental model of coronavirus epidemic and its optimization by the methods of artificial intelligence

S. Levashkin, O. Zakharova, S. Kuleshov, A. Zaytseva,
2021

In this work, we develop a systemic approach to the study of a new model of COVID-19 pandemic. The main goal is to minimize the pandemic damage to economy and society by defining the model optimal management parameters. Our approach consists of two main parts: 1) the adaptive-compartmental model of the epidemic (ACM-SEIR) – a generalization of the classical SEIR model and 2) the module to tune ACM-SEIR parameters using artificial intelligence methods (collection, storage and processing of big data from heterogeneous sources) that allow the most accurate adjustment of ACM-SEIR parameters turning it into an intelligent system for decision support called herein iACM-SEIR. We show that among iACM-SEIR parameters, the most important are individual economic, demographic and psychologic characteristics of society and the governmental actions.

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Версии

  • 1. Version of Record от 2021-05-01

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • S. Levashkin
    Artificial Intelligence Lab, PSUTI, 443010, Russia, Samara
  • O. Zakharova
    Artificial Intelligence Lab, PSUTI, 443010, Russia, Samara
  • S. Kuleshov
    LANI-SPIIRAN, St. Petersburg Federal Research Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 199178, Russia, St. Petersburg
  • A. Zaytseva
    LANI-SPIIRAN, St. Petersburg Federal Research Center of the Russian Academy of Sciences, 199178, Russia, St. Petersburg
Название журнала
  • Journal of Physics Conference Series
Том
  • 1864
Выпуск
  • 1
Страницы
  • 012108
Издатель
  • IOP Publishing
Тип документа
  • journal article
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC BY
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • dimensions