Статья

A universal model for predicting dynamics of the epidemics caused by special pathogens

A. Bachinsky, L. Nizolenko,
2021

A universal model intended primarily for predicting dynamics of the mass epidemics (outbreaks) caused by special pathogens is being developed at the State Research Center of Virology and Biotechnology Vector. The model includes the range of major countermeasures: preventive and emergency mass vaccination, vaccination of risk groups as well as search for and isolation/observation of infected cases, contacts, and suspects, and quarantine. The intensity of interventions depends on the availability of the relevant resources. The effect of resource limitations on the development of a putative epidemic of Ebola hemorrhagic fever is demonstrated. The modeling results allow for estimation of the material and human resources necessary for eradication of an epidemic. © 2013 Alexander G. Bachinsky and Lily Ph. Nizolenko.

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  • 1. Version of Record от 2021-04-27

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • A. Bachinsky
    State Research Center of Virology and Biotechnology Vector, Russian Federation, Koltsovo, Novosibirsk 630559, Russian Federation
  • L. Nizolenko
Название журнала
  • BioMed Research International
Том
  • 2013
Страницы
  • -
Ключевые слова
  • article; clinical observation; dynamics; Ebola hemorrhagic fever; epidemic; high risk population; human; infection control; mass immunization; mathematical model; periodicity; computer simulation; Disease Outbreaks; health care organization; Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola; incidence; risk assessment; statistics and numerical data; theoretical model; utilization; Ebola hemorrhagic fever; epidemic; mass immunization; statistics; utilization review; Ebola vaccine; Ebola vaccine; Computer Simulation; Disease Outbreaks; Ebola Vaccines; Health Care Rationing; Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola; Humans; Incidence; Mass Vaccination; Models, Theoretical; Risk Assessment; Computer Simulation; Disease Outbreaks; Ebola Vaccines; Health Care Rationing; Hemorrhagic Fever, Ebola; Humans; Incidence; Mass Vaccination; Models, Theoretical; Risk Assessment
Тип документа
  • journal article
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • scopus