Статья

Modeling quarantine during epidemics and mass-testing using drones

L. Sedov, A. Krasnochub, V. Polishchuk,
2021

We extend the classical SIR epidemic spread model by introducing the “quarantined” compartment. We solve (numerically) the differential equations that govern the extended model and quantify how quarantining “flattens the curve” for the proportion of infected population over time. Furthermore, we explore the potential of using drones to deliver tests, enabling mass-testing for the infection; we give a method to estimate the drone fleet needed to deliver the tests in a metropolitan area. Application of our models to COVID-19 spread in Sweden shows how the proposed methods could substantially decrease the peak number of infected people, almost without increasing the duration of the epidemic. © 2020 Sedov et al. This is an open access article distributed under the terms of the Creative Commons Attribution License, which permits unrestricted use, distribution, and reproduction in any medium, provided the original author and source are credited.

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Версии

  • 1. Version of Record от 2021-04-27

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • L. Sedov
    Communications and Transport Systems, ITN, Linköping University, Norrköping, Sweden
  • A. Krasnochub
    Joint Institute for High Temperatures, Moscow, Russian Federation
  • V. Polishchuk
Название журнала
  • PLoS ONE
Том
  • 15
Выпуск
  • 6 June
Страницы
  • -
Ключевые слова
  • Article; controlled study; coronavirus disease 2019; epidemic; mass screening; mathematical model; quantitative analysis; quarantine; Sweden; unmanned aerial vehicle; urban area; Betacoronavirus; biological model; Coronavirus infection; human; pandemic; remote sensing; virus pneumonia; Betacoronavirus; Coronavirus Infections; Disease Outbreaks; Humans; Models, Biological; Pandemics; Pneumonia, Viral; Quarantine; Remote Sensing Technology; Sweden
Издатель
  • Public Library of Science
Тип документа
  • journal article
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • scopus