Статья

Modeling quarantine during epidemics by mass-testing with drones

L. Sedov, A. Krasnochub, V. Polishchuk,
2020

We extend the classical SIR epidemic spread model by introducing the “quarantined” compartment. We solve (numerically) the differential equations that govern the extended model and quantify how quarantining “flattens the curve” for the proportion of infected population over time. Furthermore, we explore the potential of using drones to deliver tests, enabling mass-testing for the infection; we give a method to estimate the drone fleet needed to deliver the tests in a metropolitan area. Application of our models to COVID-19 spread in Sweden shows how the proposed methods could substantially decrease the peak number of infected people, almost without increasing the duration of the epidemic.

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Версии

  • 1. Version of Record от 2020-04-20

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • L. Sedov
    Linköping University
  • A. Krasnochub
    Joint Institute for Nuclear Research
  • V. Polishchuk
    Linköping University
Предметная рубрика
  • COVID-19
Тип документа
  • preprint
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC BY
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • lens