The article discusses the forecast of the development of the coronavirus disease (COVID-19) on the basis of the SIR (Susceptible, Infected, Recovered) type model and official morbidity statistics.
V. Burmakina
Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Moscow, 117997, Russia, Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Moscow, Russia
D. Pomazkin
JSC NPF “Gazprombank Fund”, Moscow, 117556, Russia, JSC NPF “Gazprombank Fund”, Moscow, Russia
I. Prokhorov
Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Moscow, 117997, Russia, Pirogov Russian National Research Medical University of the Ministry of Health of Russia, Moscow, Russia