Статья

Recurrent transitions to Little Ice Age-like climatic regimes over the Holocene

S. Helama, M. Stoffel, R. Hall, P. Jones, L. Arppe, V. Matskovsky, M. Timonen, P. Nöjd, K. Mielikäinen, M. Oinonen,
2021

Holocene climate variability is punctuated by episodic climatic events such as the Little Ice Age (LIA) predating the industrial-era warming. Their dating and forcing mechanisms have however remained controversial. Even more crucially, it is uncertain whether earlier events represent climatic regimes similar to the LIA. Here we produce and analyse a new 7500-year long palaeoclimate record tailored to detect LIA-like climatic regimes from northern European tree-ring data. In addition to the actual LIA, we identify LIA-like ca. 100–800 year periods with cold temperatures combined with clear sky conditions from 540 CE, 1670 BCE, 3240 BCE and 5450 BCE onwards, these LIA-like regimes covering 20% of the study period. Consistent with climate modelling, the LIA-like regimes originate from a coupled atmosphere–ocean–sea ice North Atlantic-Arctic system and were amplified by volcanic activity (multiple eruptions closely spaced in time), tree-ring evidence pointing to similarly enhanced LIA-like regimes starting after the eruptions recorded in 1627 BCE, 536/540 CE and 1809/1815 CE. Conversely, the ongoing decline in Arctic sea-ice extent is mirrored in our data which shows reversal of the LIA-like conditions since the late nineteenth century, our record also correlating highly with the instrumentally recorded Northern Hemisphere and global temperatures over the same period. Our results bridge the gaps between low- and high-resolution, precisely dated proxies and demonstrate the efficacy of slow and fast components of the climate system to generate LIA-like climate regimes. © 2021, The Author(s).

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  • 1. Version of Record от 2021-04-27

Метаданные

Об авторах
  • S. Helama
    Natural Resources Institute Finland, Ounasjoentie 6, Rovaniemi, 96200, Finland
  • M. Stoffel
    Climate Change Impacts and Risks in the Anthropocene (C-CIA), Institute for Environmental Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
  • R. Hall
    dendrolab.Ch, Department of Earth Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
  • P. Jones
    Department F.-A. Forel for Environmental and Aquatic Sciences, University of Geneva, Geneva, Switzerland
  • L. Arppe
    School of Geography and Lincoln Centre for Water and Planetary Health, University of Lincoln, Lincoln, United Kingdom
  • V. Matskovsky
    Climatic Research Unit, School of Environmental Sciences, University of East Anglia, Norwich, NR4 7TJ, United Kingdom
  • M. Timonen
    Laboratory of Chronology, Finnish Museum of Natural History, University of Helsinki, Gustaf Hällströmin Katu 2, Helsinki, 00014, Finland
  • P. Nöjd
    Institute of Geography RAS, Staromonetniy pereulok 29, Moscow, 119017, Russian Federation
  • K. Mielikäinen
    Natural Resources Institute Finland, Tietotie 2, Espoo, 02150, Finland
  • M. Oinonen
Название журнала
  • Climate Dynamics
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  • -
Издатель
  • Springer Science and Business Media Deutschland GmbH
Тип документа
  • journal article
Тип лицензии Creative Commons
  • CC
Правовой статус документа
  • Свободная лицензия
Источник
  • scopus